{"id":35511,"date":"2020-12-04T04:29:02","date_gmt":"2020-12-04T12:29:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goldco.com\/?p=35511"},"modified":"2022-12-17T05:00:31","modified_gmt":"2022-12-17T13:00:31","slug":"heres-what-analysts-think-will-happen-in-markets-over-the-next-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goldco.com\/heres-what-analysts-think-will-happen-in-markets-over-the-next-year\/","title":{"rendered":"Here\u2019s What Analysts Think Will Happen in Markets Over the Next Year"},"content":{"rendered":"

Economic prognostication is notoriously difficult and fraught with the potential for error. But that doesn\u2019t mean that it\u2019s worthless or meaningless. Analysts aren\u2019t idiots, and even if they may not get all the details right, it can help to pay attention to their analysis to keep on top of economic trends.<\/p>\n

If you\u2019re wondering what the future holds for your investments, you\u2019re probably going to want to pay attention to what analysts are saying. With markets still subject to significant amounts of uncertainty, the investment decisions you make within the next year could determine the performance of your portfolio over the next decade or more.<\/p>\n

Citi Sees Gold at $2,500<\/h2>\n

Analysts at Citigroup have come out with an aggressive call for gold, expecting it to hit $2,500<\/a> in 2021. That\u2019s a pretty significant price target, but not completely unreasonable when you think about how gold grew from $1,500 to over $2,000 at one point this year. Percentagewise, that forecast for next year is actually conservative, expecting less potential growth next year than this year.<\/p>\n

The reasoning behind this call for $2,500 probably isn\u2019t anything you haven\u2019t read here before. Among the reasons for gold to continue climbing are further economic stimulus, rising inflation expectations, a weaker dollar, and continued volatility in markets. Other analysts, such as ETF Trends\u2019 Dave Nadig, echoed Citi\u2019s sentiments. As Nadig, a self-declared non-gold bug said, \u201cIt\u2019s hard to argue with thousands of years of history of folks looking to gold as a store of value in times of crisis, and I don\u2019t know what we\u2019re in if it\u2019s not a time of crisis.\u201d<\/p>\n

If that bullish call for gold has you thinking about investing in gold, maybe it\u2019s time to look at investing through a gold IRA<\/a>. A gold IRA allows you to invest in physical gold coins or bars while still maintaining the same tax advantages as a conventional IRA account. You can even roll over or transfer assets from existing retirement accounts into a gold IRA, allowing you to protect your hard-earned retirement savings.<\/p>\n

Goldman Sees Gold at $2,300<\/h2>\n

Citigroup analysts aren\u2019t the only ones bullish on gold. Analysts at Goldman Sachs are predicting a $2,300 per ounce price target<\/a> for gold next year. Goldman\u2019s reasoning largely followed that of Citi; a weak economy, the prospect of higher inflation, low short-term interest rates, rebounding demand in emerging markets, and a weaker dollar all will combine to push gold higher.<\/p>\n

1. Higher Inflation<\/h3>\n

Goldman expects inflation to reach at least 3% next year<\/a>. That\u2019s perhaps a bit conservative, given how the Fed has said it\u2019s willing to let inflation \u201covershoot\u201d its 2% long-term target rate for some time, until the average inflation rate over time gets to 2%. Don\u2019t be surprised to see 4% or higher inflation at times, particularly if the federal government passes more stimulus and the Fed steps in to monetize the new debt that will be issued to pay for that. The higher inflation rises, and the higher inflation expectations rise, the more gold demand should rise.<\/p>\n

2. Rising Demand From Emerging Markets<\/h3>\n

India may be an emerging market country, but its gold market is a major driver of world gold prices. The same goes for China, which is not only the world\u2019s largest consumer of gold but also the world\u2019s largest producer. Demand in both of those countries took a hit earlier this year, but demand seems to have rebounded. With two of the top consumers of gold back online, that should help extend gold\u2019s bullish streak.<\/p>\n

Particularly important will be the demand from retail investors, which has been driving gold demand worldwide in recent months. While demand from other sectors and from exchange-traded funds<\/a> should also rise, retail demand is where we\u2019ll see much of the pressure on gold supply that should lead to increasing prices.<\/p>\n

3. Weaker Dollar<\/h3>\n

With the Federal Reserve having added over $3 trillion to its balance sheet earlier this year as part of the government\u2019s response to COVID, a more than 70% increase in just a few short months, anyone who thinks the dollar isn\u2019t going to get significantly weaker obviously doesn\u2019t understand anything about economics.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ve seen perhaps the most expansive response to a crisis ever, and it may be only the tip of the iceberg. There could still be trillions more dollars of monetary stimulus coming next year, and each dollar created out of thin air will decrease the value of those already in existence.<\/p>\n

Where Are Stock Markets Heading?<\/h2>\n

Stock markets have been on a roller coaster for the last several years, hitting all-time highs then plunging, then recovering. Wash, rinse, and repeat. Many investors have given up trying to figure out what\u2019s going on and just ride the wave. Thus far many have made great gains, at least on paper, as stock markets continue to ride the monetary tsunami to all-time highs. But could they come crashing down again?<\/p>\n

Morgan Stanley\u2019s chief investment officer thinks we\u2019ll see one last correction this year<\/a>, with a 12% drop in stock markets by the end of the year. For 2021 he\u2019s bullish, expecting a roughly 10% rise from current levels. That remains to be seen. But even if stock markets are able to delay the day of reckoning and put off a major crash for one more year, it\u2019s encouraging to gold investors that analysts still expect gold to outperform stock markets, just like gold has done this year.<\/p>\n

What We Can Expect Next Year<\/h2>\n

About all we can say for certain is that next year remains highly uncertain. Even Fed Chairman Jay Powell has expressed that, stating that the economic outlook for next year<\/a> has become \u201cextraordinarily uncertain.\u201d There\u2019s more than a bit of truth to that, with worsening economic conditions, continued high unemployment, and a new President combining to create an atmosphere of uncertainty that has more than a few investors getting nervous.<\/p>\n

Thankfully there\u2019s still some certainty in the market, namely that gold continues to provide investors with safety and security in the face of market volatility and weakness. So if you\u2019re looking to protect your retirement savings, give the experts at Goldco a call today to find out how gold can keep your investments safe and secure next year and beyond.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Economic prognostication is notoriously difficult and fraught with the potential for error. But that doesn\u2019t mean that it\u2019s worthless or meaningless. Analysts aren\u2019t idiots, and even if they may not get all the details right, it can help to pay attention to their analysis to keep on top of economic trends. If you\u2019re wondering what […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":35512,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[207],"tags":[652,226,656],"class_list":["post-35511","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-gold-price","tag-inflation","tag-stimulus"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWhat Analysts Think Will Happen in Markets Next Year | Goldco<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Wondering which way markets will move next year? 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